Graphic

Golden Globes 2014: Considering the nominees

The Hollywood Foreign Press Assn. splits its Golden Globe Awards between drama and comedy/musicals, affording its members the opportunity to honor a greater array of work and/or invite more stars to its show.

This division has produced some unintentionally comic moments (perhaps we should classify them as “dramatic” then?) over the years, with laugh riots like “Salmon Fishing in the Yemen,” “My Week With Marilyn” and “The Tourist” being nominated for best motion picture, musical or comedy. And this year, with actual ‘tweeners such as “The Wolf of Wall Street,” “Saving Mr. Banks” and “August: Osage County,” the lines are more blurred than ever. How will it all play out? Our best guesses:

By Glenn Whipp

Golden Globes 2014: Considering the nominees
Drama actor

Robert Redford; Chiwetel Ejiofor; Matthew McConaughey; Forest Whitaker; Tom Hanks

Drama actress

Cate Blanchett; Sandra Bullock; Judi Dench; Emma Thompson; Meryl Streep

Comedy/musical picture

“The Wolf of Wall Street”; “Inside Llewyn Davis”; “The Secret Life of Walter Mitty”; “August: Osage County”; “Her”

Comedy/musical actor

Leonardo DiCaprio; Oscar Issac; Bruce Dern; James Gadolfini; Joaquin Phoenix

Comedy/musical actress

Meryl Streep; Julia Roberts; Julia Louis-Dreyfus; Julie Delpy; Scarlett Johansson

Television drama

“Breaking Bad”; “House of Cards”; “Masters of Sex”; “Game of Thrones”; “Orange Is the New Black”

Television drama actor

Kevin Spacey; Bryan Cranston; Jeff Daniels; Michael Sheen; Damian Lewis

Television drama actress

Kerry Washington; Claire Danes; Tatiana Maslany; Vera Farmiga; Lizze Caplan

Television comedy/musical

“Girls”; “Modern Family”; “Veep”; “The Big Bang Theory”; “The Michael J. Fox Show”

Televison comedy actor

Jim Parsons; Michael J. Fox; Robin Williams; Don Cheadle; Jason Bateman

Television comedy actress

Julia Louis-Dreyfus; Lena Dunham; Amy Poehler; Zooey Deschanel; Sarah Michelle Gellar

Drama picture

“12 Years a Slave”; “Gravity”; “Captain Phillips”; “American Hustle”; “Saving Mr. Banks” (Fox Searchlight / Warner Bros. / Columbia Pictures / Columbia Pictures / Disney)

Bubbling under:

Lee Daniels’ The Butler,” “Blue Jasmine,” “Dallas Buyers Club,” “Lone Survivor,” “Philomena,” “Rush”

Analysis:

Harvey Weinstein usually gets what he wants from the HFPA, so it wouldn’t be surprising to see either “The Butler” or “Philomena” show up here. But the cross-cultural conflict of “Mr. Banks” should be hard to resist too.

Drama actor

Robert Redford, “All Is Lost”; Chiwetel Ejiofor, “12 Years a Slave”; Matthew McConaughey, “Dallas Buyers Club”; Forest Whitaker, “Lee Daniels The Butler”; Tom Hanks, “Captain Phillips” (Roadside Attractions / Fox Searchlight / Focus Features / The Weinstein Company / Columbia Pictures)

Bubbling under:

Hugh Jackman, “Prisoners”; Christian Bale, “American Hustle”; Mark Wahlberg, “Lone Survivor”; Idris Elba, “Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom”

Analysis:

Brit Ejiofor might not be a household name, but HFPA voters have already nominated him three times. Redford and Hanks are perennial nominees and McConaughey has plenty of heat. Don’t be surprised if Wahlberg edges his way in. The HFPA loves him, giving him a dozen nods over the years.

Drama actress

Cate Blanchett, “Blue Jasmine”; Sandra Bullock, “Gravity”; Judi Dench, “Philomena”; Emma Thompson, “Saving Mr. Banks”; Meryl Streep, “August: Osage County” (Sony Pictures Classics / Warner Bros. Pictures / The Weinstein Company / Disney / The Weinstein Company)

Bubbling under:

Kate Winslet, “Labor Day”; Bérénice Bejo, “The Past”; Adèle Exarchopoulos, “Blue Is the Warmest Color”; Brie Larson, “Short Term 12”

Analysis:

Voters have two strong options — Bejo and Exarchopoulos — if they want to give the category more of an international flair. Winslet has won three Globes from nine nominations over her career and could easily be included for her nuanced turn in “Labor Day.”

Comedy/musical picture

“The Wolf of Wall Street”; “Inside Llewyn Davis”; “The Secret Life of Walter Mitty”; “August: Osage County”; “Her” (Paramount Pictures / CBS Films / Twentieth Century Fox / The Weinstein Company / Warner Bros.)

Bubbling under:

Nebraska,” “Before Midnight,” “Enough Said,” “The Heat”

Analysis:

Martin Scorsese’s “Wolf” and the powerhouse ensemble feel-bad comedy “Osage County” are the front-runners. Alexander Payne’s wry road trip comedy “Nebraska” could slip in ahead of the Coens’ “Llewyn Davis” or Ben Stiller’s whimsical “Walter Mitty.”

Comedy/musical actor

Leonardo DiCaprio, “The Wolf of Wall Street”; Oscar Issac, “Inside Llewyn Davis”; Bruce Dern, “Nebraska”; James Gadolfini, “Enough Said”; Joaquin Phoenix, “Her” (Paramount Pictures / CBS Films / Paramount Pictures / Fox Searchlight / Warner Bros.)

Bubbling under:

Ben Stiller, “The Secret Life of Walter Mitty”; Joseph Gordon-Levitt, “Don Jon”; Ethan Hawke, “Before Midnight”

Analysis:

The HFPA won’t likely pass up an opportunity for a final tribute to Gandolfini. And why not? There’s such a grounded beauty in his relaxed performance that we’d be happy to see him win.

Comedy/musical actress

Meryl Streep, “August: Osage County”; Julia Roberts, “August: Osage County”; Julia Louis-Dreyfus, “Enough Said”; Julie Delpy, “Before Midnight”; Scarlett Johansson, “Don Jon” (The Weinstein Company / The Weinstein Company / Fox Searchlight / Sony Pictures / Relativity Media)

Bubbling under:

Melissa McCarthy, “The Heat”; Greta Gerwig, “Frances Ha”; Sandra Bullock, “The Heat”; Helen Mirren, “Red 2”

Analysis:

Roberts’ “Osage” turn could be placed in supporting, opening a slot for … a double-dip for Bullock, maybe? The HFPA also rarely lets a chance to champion Mirren go wasted, even for an unambitious movie like “Red 2.”

Television drama

“Breaking Bad”; “House of Cards”; “Masters of Sex”; “Game of Thrones”; “Orange Is the New Black” (AMC / Netflix / Showtime / HBO / Netflix)

Bubbling under:

Downton Abbey,” “Homeland,” “Mad Men,” “The Newsroom,” “Scandal,” “Orphan Black,” “The Americans”

Analysis:

Netflix originally submitted “Orange” for comedy, where it would have easily made the cut. We still think it gets in, as Globe voters love to be ahead of the curve with their TV picks. Count in Showtime’s first-year drama “Masters of Sex” too.

Television drama actor

Kevin Spacey, “House of Cards”; Bryan Cranston, “Breaking Bad”; Jeff Daniels, “The Newsroom”; Michael Sheen, “Masters of Sex”; Damian Lewis, “Homeland” (Netflix / AMC / HBO / Showtime /Showtime)

Bubbling under:

Jon Hamm, “Mad Men”; James Spader, “The Blacklist”; Liev Schreiber, “Ray Donovan”; Matthew Rhys, “The Americans”; Steve Buscemi, “Boardwalk Empire”

Analysis:

Cranston has never won as the HFPA has been totally immune to the greatness of “Breaking Bad” over the show’s run. (Aaron Paul has never even been nominated.) Voters have one more chance to give Cranston a Globe, though six-time nominee Spacey stands in the way.

Television drama actress

Kerry Washington, “Scandal”; Claire Danes, “Homeland”; Tatiana Maslany, “Orphan Black”; Vera Farmiga, “Bates Motel”; Lizze Caplan, “Masters of Sex” (ABC / Showtime / BBC America / A&E / Showtime)

Bubbling under:

Robin Wright, “House of Cards”; Taylor Schilling, “Orange Is the New Black”; Keri Russell, “The Americans”; Julianna Margulies, “The Good Wife”; Michelle Dockery, “Downton Abbey”

Analysis:

Danes has won every time she has been nominated, going four-for-four in her career. This year, she’s up against a host of great newcomers, a group that could well crowd out vets Wright and Margulies. Again: The HFPA likes to beat the Emmys to the punch.

Television comedy/musical

“Girls”; “Modern Family”; “Veep”; “The Big Bang Theory”; “The Michael J. Fox Show” (HBO / ABC / NBC / CBSNBC)

Bubbling under:

The Crazy Ones,” “Brooklyn Nine-Nine,” “Glee,” “New Girl,” “Arrested Development”

Analysis:

This group adores “Glee.” Don’t put it past them to nominate it again over the so-so newcomers headlined by Fox and Robin Williams.

Televison comedy actor

Jim Parsons, “The Big Bang Theory”; Michael J. Fox, “The Michael J. Fox”; Robin Williams, “The Crazy Ones”; Don Cheadle, “House of Lies”; Jason Bateman, “Arrested Development” (CBS / NBC / CBS / Showtime / FOX)

Bubbling under:

Andy Samberg, “Brooklyn Nine-Nine”; Jake Johnson, “New Girl”; Stephen Merchant, “Hello Ladies”

Analysis:

Alec Baldwin’s gone, and Matt LeBlanc’s “Episodes” and Louis C.K.’s “Louie” are on an extended break. With slots to fill, voters will turn to name-brand headliners.

Television comedy actress

Julia Louis-Dreyfus, “Veep”; Lena Dunham, “Girls”; Amy Poehler, “Parks and Recreation”; Zooey Deschanel, “New Girl”; Sarah Michelle Gellar, “The Crazy Ones” (HBO / HBO / NBC / FOXCBS)

Bubbling under:

Edie Falco, “Nurse Jackie”; Anna Farris, “Mom”; Laura Dern, “Enlightened”; Mindy Kaling, “The Mindy Project”; Lea Michele, “Glee”

Analysis:

Last year, co-hosts Tina Fey and Amy Poehler were both nominated here, with Dunham winning. We have no idea if balloters split their votes between the hosts. But now that “30 Rock” has ended, we can politely ask the HFPA to step up and award Poehler for her sustained excellence on “Parks.” It’s long overdue.